Tenerife vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tenerife welcome Pontevedra to Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Tenerife, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Barakaldo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 1.4 xG, Pontevedra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 45%, draw 27%, Pontevedra 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 1–0 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Pontevedra28%fair 3.54 · @3.20
2.28Expected goals
1.36Tenerife xG
0.92Pontevedra xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.4 – 0.9 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tenerife
Pontevedra
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+12%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.40
0.83
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win✓
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Draw no bet
Tenerife (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Pontevedra +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Tenerife to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Tenerife – last 4
WWDD
1 May
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Real Avilés
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 2
LD
8 Apr
@ Arenas Getxo
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pontevedra 28%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–0 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
Tenerife vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.