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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tenerife v Pontevedra: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz
3–0
FT
Tenerife 45%Draw 27%Pontevedra 28% Expected goals 1.36 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTenerife to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51

Tenerife vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tenerife welcome Pontevedra to Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Tenerife, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Barakaldo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 1.4 xG, Pontevedra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 45%, draw 27%, Pontevedra 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 1–0 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tenerife45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Pontevedra28%fair 3.54 · @3.20
2.28Expected goals
1.36Tenerife xG
0.92Pontevedra xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Tenerife 1.4 – 0.9 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TenerifePontevedra
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average+12%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-10%
Our expected goals here1.400.83

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTenerife to win ✓45%2.222.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.80
Draw no betTenerife (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapPontevedra +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreTenerife to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tenerife / FT Tenerife ✓27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.51–

Recent results

Tenerife – last 4

WWDD
1 Mayvs Barakaldo2–0W
22 Marvs Osasuna II1–0W
13 Mar@ Celta de Vigo II1–1D
27 Febvs Real Avilés2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Pontevedra – last 2

LD
8 Apr@ Arenas Getxo0–1L
8 Marvs Unionistas de Salamanca0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Pontevedra.

Tenerife vs Pontevedra head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Pontevedra?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tenerife vs Pontevedra?

On our numbers Tenerife have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pontevedra 28%.

How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Pontevedra?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Pontevedra?

Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–0 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tenerife vs Pontevedra?

Tenerife vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.