Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultZamora to win39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.21
Zamora vs Cacereño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Zamora v Cacereño in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Ruta de la Plata. In the table, Zamora are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Cacereño are 10th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zamora, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lugo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Cacereño, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arenteiro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zamora, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cacereño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zamora 1.1 xG, Cacereño 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zamora 39%, draw 30%, Cacereño 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zamora 1–0 Cacereño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zamora39%fair 2.57 · @2.60
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.95
Cacereño31%fair 3.20 · @2.65
2.06Expected goals
1.13Zamora xG
0.92Cacereño xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Zamora 1.1 – 0.9 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Zamora
Cacereño
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-12%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.01
0.76
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win
39%
2.57
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Zamora (draw no bet)
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Cacereño +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Zamora to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora / FT Zamora
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
13.21
–
Recent results
Zamora – last 6
WWLWDL
10 May
@ Lugo
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Real Avilés
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Guadalajara
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Athletic Club II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cacereño – last 6
WLWLDL
3 May
@ Arenteiro
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Celta de Vigo II
0–3
L
10 Apr
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Lugo
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora and Cacereño.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Zamora vs Cacereño?
On our numbers Zamora have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cacereño 31%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora vs Cacereño?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora vs Cacereño?
Our predicted score is Zamora 1–0 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Zamora vs Cacereño?
Zamora vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arenteiro0
Celta de Vigo II0
CF Talavera0
Ourense CF0
Osasuna II0
Real Madrid II3
Tenerife3