Real Madrid II 69%Draw 19%Arenas Getxo 12%Expected goals 2.14 – 0.84
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid II to win69% · @1.22
Double chanceReal Madrid II or draw88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.24
Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arenas Getxo travel to face Real Madrid II on Sunday 17 May in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Real Madrid II, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ourense CF, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Arenas Getxo, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Ferrol, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arenas Getxo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Real Madrid II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid II 2.1 xG, Arenas Getxo 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid II 69%, draw 19%, Arenas Getxo 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid II 2–0 Arenas Getxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid II69%fair 1.46 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.80
Arenas Getxo12%fair 8.20 · @13.00
2.98Expected goals
2.14Real Madrid II xG
0.84Arenas Getxo xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid II 2.1 – 0.8 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Madrid II
Arenas Getxo
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+11%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+48%
Our expected goals here
2.27
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid II to win
69%
1.46
1.22
Double chance
Real Madrid II or draw
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Madrid II (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid II -0.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Real Madrid II to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid II ahead at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Real Madrid II – last 5
DWLLW
14 Apr
vs Ourense CF
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Celta de Vigo II
5–1
W
27 Mar
@ Barakaldo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Athletic Club II
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Arenas Getxo – last 6
DWWWDD
8 May
vs Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Mérida AD
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Pontevedra
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Arenteiro
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Lugo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Athletic Club II
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid II and Arenas Getxo.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers Real Madrid II have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arenas Getxo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid II 2–0 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arenteiro0
Celta de Vigo II0
CF Talavera0
Ourense CF0
Osasuna II0
Tenerife3