San Jose Earthquakes 49%Draw 22%FC Dallas 29%Expected goals 1.71 – 1.49
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✗49% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Dallas travel to face San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday 17 May in the Major League Soccer, with PayPal Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; FC Dallas are 2nd (among the top four) with 58.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Seattle Sounders, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
FC Dallas, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Vancouver Whitecaps, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Jose Earthquakes, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for FC Dallas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.7 xG, FC Dallas 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 49%, draw 22%, FC Dallas 29%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: FC Dallas to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 FC Dallas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes49%fair 2.06 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.85
FC Dallas29%fair 3.44 · @3.80
3.20Expected goals
1.71San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.49FC Dallas xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.7 – 1.5 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✗
49%
2.06
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Draw no bet
San Jose Earthquakes (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
FC Dallas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
San Jose Earthquakes to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
LDWWWW
14 May
@ Seattle Sounders
2–3
L
10 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
4–2
W
26 Apr
@ St. Louis City
3–2
W
23 Apr
vs Austin
5–1
W
20 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Dallas – last 6
LWWLLD
14 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2–3
L
10 May
vs Real Salt Lake
3–1
W
3 May
@ New York Red Bulls
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Dallas.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Dallas 29%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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