Gimnasia Y Tiro v Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓61% · @1.95

Double chanceGimnasia Y Tiro or draw ✓87% · @1.20

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.50

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Gimnasia Y Tiro v Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio El Gigante del Norte. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47.

Current form

Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Agropecuario, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over San Martin Tucuman, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.4 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 61%, draw 27%, Atletico DE Rafaela 13%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Y Tiro61%fair 1.65 · @1.95

Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.80

Atletico DE Rafaela13%fair 7.92 · @4.40

1.82Expected goals

1.37Gimnasia Y Tiro xG

0.45Atletico DE Rafaela xG

45%Both score

27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

0–016%

2–015%

1–110%

0–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.4 – 0.4 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓	61%	1.65	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw ✓	87%	1.14	1.20
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.53
Draw no bet	Gimnasia Y Tiro (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Gimnasia Y Tiro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Gimnasia Y Tiro to score first ✓	63%	1.58	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gimnasia Y Tiro / FT Gimnasia Y Tiro ✓	36%	2.79	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	22%	4.50	–

Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6

LDWWLD

20 Sep	@ Agropecuario	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs Tristan Suarez	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Club Atlético Güemes	3–1	W
29 Aug	vs Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
22 Aug	@ San Martin S.J.	1–3	L
16 Aug	@ Central Norte	0–0	D

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

WLLWDD

19 Sep	vs San Martin Tucuman	4–2	W
13 Sep	@ Gimnasia Jujuy	1–2	L
6 Sep	@ Agropecuario	0–2	L
29 Aug	vs Tristan Suarez	2–1	W
24 Aug	@ Club Atlético Güemes	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Defensores De Belgrano	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico DE Rafaela 13%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gimnasia Y Tiro v Atletico DE Rafaela: numbers & prediction