Midland v Tristan Suarez Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMidland to win ✗44% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.70

Midland vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Midland v Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional, played at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. In the table, Midland are 5th, upper half, on 55 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64.

Current form

Midland, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Atlético Güemes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tristan Suarez, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Midland 1.0 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Midland 44%, draw 27%, Tristan Suarez 29%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Tristan Suarez to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Midland 1–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Midland44%fair 2.27 · @2.25

Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.62

Tristan Suarez29%fair 3.42 · @3.70

1.75Expected goals

1.01Midland xG

0.74Tristan Suarez xG

46%Both score

26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

0–017%

1–113%

0–113%

2–09%

2–17%

From our goals model: Midland 1.0 – 0.7 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Midland to win ✗	44%	2.27	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.55
Draw no bet	Midland (draw no bet) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Tristan Suarez +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Midland to score first ✗	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	53%	1.88	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	25%	4.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.70	–

Midland – last 6

WWLLWL

20 Sep	@ Club Atlético Güemes	2–0	W
13 Sep	vs Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ San Martin S.J.	2–3	L
3 Sep	@ Colegiales	0–3	L
29 Aug	vs Nueva Chicago	2–0	W
23 Aug	@ Temperley	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Tristan Suarez – last 6

DDDWLW

21 Sep	vs Atlanta	0–0	D
16 Sep	@ San Martin S.J.	0–0	D
12 Sep	@ Gimnasia Y Tiro	0–0	D
5 Sep	vs San Martin Tucuman	2–0	W
29 Aug	@ Atletico DE Rafaela	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Agropecuario	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Midland vs Tristan Suarez?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Midland vs Tristan Suarez?

On our numbers Midland have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tristan Suarez 29%.

How many goals will there be in Midland vs Tristan Suarez?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Midland vs Tristan Suarez?

Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Midland vs Tristan Suarez?

Midland vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Midland v Tristan Suarez: numbers & prediction