Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Botafogo SP vs Capivariano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo SP welcome Capivariano to Estádio Santa Cruz for a Paulista A1 fixture on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.3 xG, Capivariano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 47%, draw 24%, Capivariano 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–0 Capivariano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP47%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Capivariano29%fair 3.41 · @3.60
2.18Expected goals
1.26Botafogo SP xG
0.92Capivariano xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.3 – 0.9 Capivariano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✗
47%
2.15
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Botafogo SP (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Capivariano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Botafogo SP to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Botafogo SP
No recent results on record.
Capivariano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Capivariano.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Capivariano 29%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Capivariano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
Botafogo SP vs Capivariano (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Santa Cruz
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1