Mirassol vs Portuguesa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 February the Paulista A1 brings Mirassol against Portuguesa at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.4 xG, Portuguesa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 53%, draw 26%, Portuguesa 22%.
Lower-risk option: Mirassol or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–0 Portuguesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol53%fair 1.89 · @1.61
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.70
Portuguesa22%fair 4.62 · @5.60
2.31Expected goals
1.35Mirassol xG
0.95Portuguesa xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.4 – 1.0 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✗
53%
1.89
1.61
Double chance
Mirassol or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Mirassol (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Portuguesa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Mirassol to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Mirassol
No recent results on record.
Portuguesa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Portuguesa.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portuguesa 22%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–0 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
Mirassol vs Portuguesa (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1