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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RB Bragantino v Novorizontino: numbers & prediction

Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
RB Bragantino 44%Draw 27%Novorizontino 29% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.14
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRB Bragantino to win ✓44% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76

RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Novorizontino travel to face RB Bragantino on Monday 16 February in the Paulista A1, with Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.3 xG, Novorizontino 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 44%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Bragantino44%fair 2.28 · @1.96
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.15
Novorizontino29%fair 3.44 · @4.10
2.47Expected goals
1.32RB Bragantino xG
1.14Novorizontino xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%

From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.3 – 1.1 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Bragantino to win ✓44%2.281.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.93 ▲
Draw no betRB Bragantino (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapNovorizontino +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.06
First team to scoreRB Bragantino to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino ✓24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.76–

Recent results

RB Bragantino

No recent results on record.

Novorizontino

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Novorizontino.

RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino head-to-head page →

More Paulista A1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino?

On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Novorizontino 29%.

How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino?

Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino?

RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.