Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✗70% · @1.38
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Monday 16 February: Palmeiras v Guarani Campinas in the Paulista A1, played at Arena Barueri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 2.0 xG, Guarani Campinas 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 70%, draw 20%, Guarani Campinas 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 2–0 Guarani Campinas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras70%fair 1.42 · @1.38
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.30
Guarani Campinas10%fair 9.91 · @9.10
2.68Expected goals
2.04Palmeiras xG
0.64Guarani Campinas xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.0 – 0.6 Guarani Campinas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✗
70%
1.42
1.38
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Internacional
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guarani Campinas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Guarani Campinas.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Guarani Campinas 10%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Guarani Campinas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas?
Palmeiras vs Guarani Campinas (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Barueri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Arena Barueri
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1