Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponte Preta welcome Sao Paulo to Moisés Lucarelli for a Paulista A1 fixture on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.6 xG, Sao Paulo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 11%, draw 21%, Sao Paulo 68%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta11%fair 9.25 · @12.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.55
Sao Paulo68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
2.42Expected goals
0.60Ponte Preta xG
1.82Sao Paulo xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
0–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 1.8 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Paulo to win✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
Sao Paulo or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.48
Draw no bet
Sao Paulo (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Sao Paulo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Sao Paulo to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sao Paulo ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.19
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta
No recent results on record.
Sao Paulo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Sao Paulo.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sao Paulo 68%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Moisés Lucarelli
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1