Primavera SP vs Noroeste: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Noroeste travel to face Primavera SP on Monday 16 February in the Paulista A1, with Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Primavera SP 1.7 xG, Noroeste 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Primavera SP 48%, draw 25%, Noroeste 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Primavera SP48%fair 2.08 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.15
Noroeste27%fair 3.66 · @3.65
2.82Expected goals
1.72Primavera SP xG
1.10Noroeste xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Primavera SP 1.7 – 1.1 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Primavera SP to win✗
48%
2.08
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.85
Draw no bet
Primavera SP (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Noroeste +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
Primavera SP to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Primavera SP / FT Primavera SP✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Primavera SP
No recent results on record.
Noroeste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Primavera SP and Noroeste.
What is the prediction for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
On our numbers Primavera SP have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Noroeste 27%.
How many goals will there be in Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
Our predicted score is Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
Primavera SP vs Noroeste (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1