Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✓68% · @1.27
Double chanceSantos or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Santos vs Velo Clube: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos welcome Velo Clube to Estádio Urbano Caldeira for a Paulista A1 fixture on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.8 xG, Velo Clube 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 68%, draw 20%, Velo Clube 11%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–0 Velo Clube. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos68%fair 1.46 · @1.27
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.00
Velo Clube11%fair 8.78 · @12.00
2.45Expected goals
1.78Santos xG
0.67Velo Clube xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Santos 1.8 – 0.7 Velo Clube expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✓
68%
1.46
1.27
Double chance
Santos or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Santos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Santos to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Santos ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Santos
No recent results on record.
Velo Clube
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Velo Clube.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Santos vs Velo Clube?
On our numbers Santos have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Velo Clube 11%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Velo Clube?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Velo Clube?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–0 Velo Clube, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Velo Clube?
Santos vs Velo Clube (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1