São Bernardo 31%Draw 27%Corinthians 42%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.19
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: São Bernardo to win @ 4.00 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✓42% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.77
São Bernardo vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Corinthians travel to face São Bernardo on Monday 16 February in the Paulista A1, with Estádio Primeiro de Maio the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.2 xG, Corinthians 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 31%, draw 27%, Corinthians 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: São Bernardo to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo31%fair 3.19 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Corinthians42%fair 2.39 · @1.96
2.36Expected goals
1.17São Bernardo xG
1.19Corinthians xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.2 – 1.2 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✓
42%
2.39
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Corinthians (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
São Bernardo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Corinthians to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.77
–
Recent results
São Bernardo
No recent results on record.
Corinthians
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Corinthians 42%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
São Bernardo vs Corinthians (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0