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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Best Denki Stadium

Avispa Fukuoka

WLLLL
1–0
FT

V-varen Nagasaki

LWLWL
Avispa Fukuoka 36%Draw 27%V-varen Nagasaki 37% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.30
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultV-varen Nagasaki to win ✗37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

V-varen Nagasaki travel to face Avispa Fukuoka on Saturday 11 April in the J1 League, with Best Denki Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Shimizu S-pulse, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours V-varen Nagasaki, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Avispa Fukuoka.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 36%, draw 27%, V-varen Nagasaki 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avispa Fukuoka36%fair 2.80 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
V-varen Nagasaki37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
2.52Expected goals
1.23Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.30V-varen Nagasaki xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 – 1.3 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultV-varen Nagasaki to win ✗37%2.712.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.941.83
Draw no betV-varen Nagasaki (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapAvispa Fukuoka +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.441.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreV-varen Nagasaki to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT V-varen Nagasaki / FT V-varen Nagasaki ✗22%4.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Avispa Fukuoka – last 6

WLLLLL
5 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0W
15 Mar@ V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
7 Marvs Nagoya Grampus1–5L
27 Feb@ Vissel Kobe1–2L
22 Feb@ Kyoto Sanga0–2L
15 Febvs Cerezo Osaka0–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Aprvs Shimizu S-pulse0–3L
21 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama1–0W
18 Marvs Kyoto Sanga1–2L
15 Marvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
8 Mar@ Gamba Osaka2–3L
28 Febvs Cerezo Osaka1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026V-varen Nagasaki v Avispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– JEF United Chiba1 Mito Hollyhock1 Pens 2–3 142%2.65X27%3.10232%2.65 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia1 Kashiwa Reysol0 141%2.85X27%3.10232%2.55 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
– Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 Shimizu S-pulse1 Pens 5–4 168%1.55X21%3.85211%6.00 2.1–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
– Vissel Kobe3 Nagoya Grampus2 157%1.95X24%3.35219%3.90 1.8–0.9xG 1XVissel Kobe or draw 81%@1.25
FT Yokohama F. Marinos1 FC Tokyo3 128%3.10X25%3.40248%2.20 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gamba Osaka0 Cerezo Osaka1 145%2.25X24%3.50232%2.95 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Kyoto Sanga5 Fagiano Okayama1 153%1.90X26%3.50222%3.90 1.6–1.0xG 1XKyoto Sanga or draw 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and V-varen Nagasaki 37%.

How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.