Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗68% · @1.55

Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓89% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shimizu S-pulse travel to face Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Saturday 11 April in the J1 League, with Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Avispa Fukuoka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Shimizu S-pulse, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 68%, draw 21%, Shimizu S-pulse 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima68%fair 1.48 · @1.55

Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.85

Shimizu S-pulse11%fair 8.70 · @6.00

2.87Expected goals

2.14Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

0.72Shimizu S-pulse xG

51%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%

1–012%

2–19%

3–09%

1–19%

3–17%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 – 0.7 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗	68%	1.48	1.55
Double chance	Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓	89%	1.13	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.94	1.83
Draw no bet	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)	85%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
First team to score	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first	71%	1.42	–
Half-time result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗	46%	2.17	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.59	–

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

LLLLWW

5 Apr	vs Avispa Fukuoka	0–1	L
27 Mar	@ Vissel Kobe	1–2	L
22 Mar	@ Shimizu S-pulse	1–3	L
18 Mar	@ Nagoya Grampus	1–2	L
14 Mar	vs Gamba Osaka	2–0	W
11 Mar	vs Johor Darul Takzim FC	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Shimizu S-pulse – last 5

WLWWD

5 Apr	@ V-varen Nagasaki	3–0	W
1 Apr	@ Vissel Kobe	0–2	L
22 Mar	vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–1	W
21 Feb	vs Vissel Kobe	1–0	W
14 Feb	vs Kyoto Sanga	1–1	D

1.6Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	+4	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	+9	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	+2	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	+8	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	+6	28
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	10	-3	26
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	10	-2	24
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	10	-6	23
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	-8	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	-10	21

Team

Pts

-3

-2

-6

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shimizu S-pulse 11%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse: numbers & prediction