Yokohama F. Marinos v FC Tokyo Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓48% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 April the J1 League brings Yokohama F. Marinos against FC Tokyo at Nissan Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

FC Tokyo, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Machida Zelvia, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended FC Tokyo 3–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1 xG, FC Tokyo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 28%, draw 25%, FC Tokyo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yokohama F. Marinos28%fair 3.63 · @3.10

Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.40

FC Tokyo48%fair 2.10 · @2.20

2.65Expected goals

1.07Yokohama F. Marinos xG

1.59FC Tokyo xG

58%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–111%

1–29%

0–29%

1–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1 – 1.6 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Tokyo to win ✓	48%	2.10	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.77
Draw no bet	FC Tokyo (draw no bet) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Asian handicap	Yokohama F. Marinos +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.94	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.09
First team to score	FC Tokyo to score first ✓	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo ✓	30%	3.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.58	–

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

LWLWLW

5 Apr	@ Kashiwa Reysol	0–3	L
22 Mar	@ Kawasaki Frontale	5–0	W
18 Mar	@ Mito Hollyhock	0–1	L
14 Mar	vs JEF United Chiba	2–0	W
7 Mar	@ FC Tokyo	0–3	L
28 Feb	vs Tokyo Verdy	3–2	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FC Tokyo – last 6

WWWLWD

1 Apr	@ Machida Zelvia	3–0	W
18 Mar	@ JEF United Chiba	2–1	W
7 Mar	vs Yokohama F. Marinos	3–0	W
28 Feb	vs Kashiwa Reysol	0–2	L
21 Feb	@ Kawasaki Frontale	2–1	W
14 Feb	vs Urawa	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima	18	15	3	+20	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	+14	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	+6	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	-2	28
5	Tokyo Verdy	18	10	8	-4	28
6	Urawa	18	7	11	+3	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	-3	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	-2	20
9	Mito Hollyhock	18	6	12	-16	18
10	JEF United Chiba	18	3	15	-16	12

Team

Pts

+20

+14

-2

-4

-3

-2

-16

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?

On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Tokyo 48%.

How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?

Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Yokohama F. Marinos v FC Tokyo: numbers & prediction