Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League, played at Panasonic Stadium Suita. In the table, Gamba Osaka are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gamba Osaka, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bangkok United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gamba Osaka 1.7 xG, Cerezo Osaka 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gamba Osaka 45%, draw 24%, Cerezo Osaka 32%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gamba Osaka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gamba Osaka45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Cerezo Osaka32%fair 3.14 · @2.95
3.05Expected goals
1.70Gamba Osaka xG
1.35Cerezo Osaka xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.7 – 1.4 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Cerezo Osaka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
Gamba Osaka to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LWLDWD
8 Apr
vs Bangkok United
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
LLWLLW
4 Apr
@ Nagoya Grampus
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cerezo Osaka 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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