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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyoto Sanga v Fagiano Okayama: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
5–1
FT
Kyoto Sanga 53%Draw 26%Fagiano Okayama 22% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick

Kyoto Sanga or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✓53% · @1.90
Double chanceKyoto Sanga or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 April the J1 League brings Kyoto Sanga against Fagiano Okayama at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Kyoto Sanga are 8th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gamba Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Vissel Kobe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Kyoto Sanga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyoto Sanga 1.6 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyoto Sanga 53%, draw 26%, Fagiano Okayama 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kyoto Sanga or draw (78%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kyoto Sanga or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyoto Sanga53%fair 1.90 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Fagiano Okayama22%fair 4.60 · @3.90
2.60Expected goals
1.58Kyoto Sanga xG
1.02Fagiano Okayama xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.6 – 1.0 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKyoto Sanga to win ✓53%1.901.90
Double chanceKyoto Sanga or draw ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.77
Draw no betKyoto Sanga (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.151.10
First team to scoreKyoto Sanga to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga ✓30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

LWLLWW
4 Apr@ Gamba Osaka0–2L
18 Mar@ V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
14 Marvs Cerezo Osaka1–2L
8 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
27 Feb@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1W
22 Febvs Avispa Fukuoka2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

LLWWLD
5 Aprvs Vissel Kobe1–4L
21 Marvs V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
18 Mar@ Cerezo Osaka2–1W
8 Marvs Kyoto Sanga1–0W
22 Febvs Gamba Osaka1–2L
14 Feb@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Kyoto Sanga or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fagiano Okayama 22%.

How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.