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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Noevir Stadium Kobe
3–2
–
Vissel Kobe 57%Draw 24%Nagoya Grampus 19% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.93
81%
Betarazi pick

Vissel Kobe or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultVissel Kobe to win57% · @1.95
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.14

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vissel Kobe welcome Nagoya Grampus to Noevir Stadium Kobe for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 11 April (07:00 WAT). In the table, Vissel Kobe are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

Vissel Kobe, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Fagiano Okayama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Vissel Kobe, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Nagoya Grampus.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Vissel Kobe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vissel Kobe 1.8 xG, Nagoya Grampus 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vissel Kobe 57%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vissel Kobe or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Vissel Kobe to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vissel Kobe or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vissel Kobe 1–0 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vissel Kobe57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.35
Nagoya Grampus19%fair 5.26 · @3.90
2.77Expected goals
1.84Vissel Kobe xG
0.93Nagoya Grampus xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.8 – 0.9 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVissel Kobe to win57%1.761.95 ▲
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.921.85
Draw no betVissel Kobe (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapNagoya Grampus +1.5 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.381.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.381.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.07
First team to scoreVissel Kobe to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultVissel Kobe ahead at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.14–

Recent results

Vissel Kobe – last 6

WWWWWW
5 Apr@ Fagiano Okayama4–1W
1 Aprvs Shimizu S-pulse2–0W
27 Marvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1W
14 Mar@ Nagoya Grampus3–0W
11 Marvs FC Seoul2–1W
4 Mar@ FC Seoul1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nagoya Grampus – last 5

WWLWL
4 Aprvs Cerezo Osaka3–0W
18 Marvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1W
14 Marvs Vissel Kobe0–3L
7 Mar@ Avispa Fukuoka5–1W
21 Febvs V-varen Nagasaki1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Nagoya Grampus v Vissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our pick is Vissel Kobe or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 19%.

How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium Kobe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.