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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Serbia v Netherlands: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Rajko Mitić Stadion

Serbia

LLLWL
1–2
FT

Netherlands

DDWWD
Serbia 15%Draw 20%Netherlands 65% Expected goals 0.70 – 1.80
65%
Betarazi pick

Netherlands to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultNetherlands to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.76

Serbia vs Netherlands: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 27 September the UEFA Nations League brings Serbia against Netherlands at Rajko Mitić Stadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Serbia are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Netherlands are 1st with 8.

Current form

Serbia, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Greece, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Netherlands, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Germany, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Netherlands, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Serbia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Serbia 0.7 xG, Netherlands 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Serbia 15%, draw 20%, Netherlands 65%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Netherlands to win (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Serbia 0–1 Netherlands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Serbia15%fair 6.65 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
Netherlands65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
2.50Expected goals
0.70Serbia xG
1.80Netherlands xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Serbia 0.7 – 1.8 Netherlands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNetherlands to win ✓65%1.541.36
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓85%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.91
Draw no betNetherlands (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapNetherlands -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreNetherlands to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultNetherlands ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Netherlands / FT Netherlands ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.76–

Recent results

Serbia – last 5

LLLWL
24 Sepvs Greece1–2L
5 Jun@ Mexico1–5L
31 May@ Cape Verde Islands0–3L
31 Marvs Saudi Arabia2–1W
27 Mar@ Spain0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Netherlands – last 6

DDWWDW
24 Sepvs Germany1–1D
30 Junvs Morocco1–1D
26 Jun@ Tunisia3–1W
20 Junvs Sweden5–1W
14 Junvs Japan2–2D
8 Junvs Uzbekistan2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Serbia and Netherlands.

Serbia vs Netherlands head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands4220+28
2Greece4220+28
3Germany4121+15
4Serbia4004-50

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Lithuania1 Azerbaijan1 140%2.38X25%2.80235%3.10 1.1–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.00 ✓
FT Denmark2 Wales0 167%1.40X19%4.20214%6.50 2.1–0.9xG 1Denmark to win 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Austria3 Kosovo1 164%1.50X23%3.90213%5.50 1.8–0.7xG 1Austria to win 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Gibraltar0 Andorra0 143%3.40X26%2.62230%2.30 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.40 ✗
FT Germany0 Greece1 168%1.36X20%4.60212%6.50 1.9–0.6xG 1Germany to win 68%@1.36 ✗
FT Norway1 Portugal2 143%2.40X21%3.40235%2.50 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Israel0 Rep. Of Ireland3 130%2.62X24%3.00245%2.60 1.1–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Netherlands?

Our pick is Netherlands to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Serbia vs Netherlands?

On our numbers Serbia have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Netherlands 65%.

How many goals will there be in Serbia vs Netherlands?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Serbia vs Netherlands?

Our predicted score is Serbia 0–1 Netherlands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Serbia vs Netherlands?

Serbia vs Netherlands (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajko Mitić Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.