Gibraltar v Andorra Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGibraltar to win ✗43% · @3.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

Gibraltar vs Andorra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Gibraltar v Andorra in the UEFA Nations League, played at Europa Sports Park. In the table, Gibraltar are 2nd on 2 points after 2 matches; Andorra are 3rd with 1. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gibraltar, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sao Tome and Principe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Andorra, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Malta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gibraltar, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.7 for Andorra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gibraltar 1.6 xG, Andorra 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gibraltar 43%, draw 26%, Andorra 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Gibraltar to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.40 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gibraltar 1–1 Andorra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gibraltar43%fair 2.31 · @3.40

Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.62

Andorra30%fair 3.30 · @2.30

3.00Expected goals

1.65Gibraltar xG

1.35Andorra xG

57%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–27%

2–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: Gibraltar 1.6 – 1.4 Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gibraltar to win ✗	43%	2.31	3.40 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.74	2.40 ▲
Draw no bet	Gibraltar (draw no bet)	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Andorra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Gibraltar to score first ✗	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gibraltar / FT Gibraltar ✗	27%	3.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.94	–

Gibraltar – last 5

DWWLL

23 Sep	vs Sao Tome and Principe	0–0	D
6 Jun	vs Cayman Islands	4–1	W
3 Jun	vs British Virgin Islands	4–0	W
31 Mar	@ Latvia	0–1	L
26 Mar	vs Latvia	0–1	L

1.6Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

20%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Andorra – last 6

LLWLDL

24 Sep	vs Malta	1–2	L
7 Jun	@ Kosovo	0–3	L
4 Jun	vs Liechtenstein	2–0	W
29 May	@ Iraq	0–1	L
31 Mar	@ San Marino	0–0	D
27 Mar	@ Montenegro	0–2	L

0.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Gibraltar	2	0	2	0	0	2
3	Andorra	3	0	1	2	-2	1

Team

Pts

Malta

Gibraltar

Andorra

-2

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.40.

Who will win Gibraltar vs Andorra?

On our numbers Gibraltar have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Andorra 30%.

How many goals will there be in Gibraltar vs Andorra?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Our predicted score is Gibraltar 1–1 Andorra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Gibraltar vs Andorra?

Gibraltar vs Andorra (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Europa Sports Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gibraltar v Andorra: numbers & prediction