Austria v Kosovo Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAustria to win ✓64% · @1.50

Double chanceAustria or draw ✓87% · @1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71

Austria vs Kosovo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Austria welcome Kosovo to Ernst Happel Stadion for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Sunday 27 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Austria are 1st on 8 points after 4 matches; Kosovo are 2nd with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Austria, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Israel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kosovo, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rep. Of Ireland, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austria 1.8 xG, Kosovo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Austria 64%, draw 23%, Kosovo 13%.
Lower-risk option: Austria or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Austria to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austria 1–0 Kosovo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austria64%fair 1.56 · @1.50

Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90

Kosovo13%fair 7.75 · @5.50

2.50Expected goals

1.82Austria xG

0.68Kosovo xG

49%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–014%

1–110%

2–19%

0–08%

3–08%

From our goals model: Austria 1.8 – 0.7 Kosovo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Austria to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.50
Double chance	Austria or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.14
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	1.91
Draw no bet	Austria (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Austria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Austria to score first ✓	67%	1.50	–
Half-time result	Austria ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Austria / FT Austria ✓	41%	2.45	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.71	–

Austria – last 6

WLDLWW

24 Sep	vs Israel	3–1	W
2 Jul	@ Spain	0–3	L
28 Jun	@ Algeria	3–3	D
22 Jun	@ Argentina	0–2	L
17 Jun	vs Jordan	3–1	W
1 Jun	vs Tunisia	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Kosovo – last 5

WWLLW

24 Sep	vs Rep. Of Ireland	1–0	W
7 Jun	vs Andorra	3–0	W
31 May	@ Czech Republic	1–2	L
31 Mar	vs Türkiye	0–1	L
26 Mar	@ Slovakia	4–3	W

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

40%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
3	Rep. Of Ireland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	-5	2

Team

Pts

-1

-5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austria vs Kosovo?

Our pick is Austria to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Austria vs Kosovo?

On our numbers Austria have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kosovo 13%.

How many goals will there be in Austria vs Kosovo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austria vs Kosovo?

Our predicted score is Austria 1–0 Kosovo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Austria vs Kosovo?

Austria vs Kosovo (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ernst Happel Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Austria v Kosovo: numbers & prediction