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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Israel v Rep. Of Ireland: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel

LWD
0–3
FT

Rep. Of Ireland

LDWD
Israel 30%Draw 24%Rep. Of Ireland 45% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.41
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Rep. Of Ireland to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRep. Of Ireland to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rep. Of Ireland travel to face Israel on Sunday 27 September in the UEFA Nations League, with Nagyerdei Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Israel are 4th on 2 points after 4 matches; Rep. Of Ireland are 3rd with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Israel, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Austria, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Rep. Of Ireland, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kosovo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Israel 1.1 xG, Rep. Of Ireland 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Israel 30%, draw 24%, Rep. Of Ireland 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Rep. Of Ireland to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Israel 1–1 Rep. Of Ireland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Israel30%fair 3.28 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Rep. Of Ireland45%fair 2.20 · @2.60
2.50Expected goals
1.09Israel xG
1.41Rep. Of Ireland xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Israel 1.1 – 1.4 Rep. Of Ireland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRep. Of Ireland to win ✓45%2.202.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.75
Draw no betRep. Of Ireland (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapIsrael +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreRep. Of Ireland to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rep. Of Ireland / FT Rep. Of Ireland ✓26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Israel – last 3

LWD
24 Sep@ Austria1–3L
3 Jun@ Albania1–0W
26 Mar@ Georgia2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rep. Of Ireland – last 4

LDWD
24 Sep@ Kosovo0–1L
6 Jun@ Canada1–1D
28 Mayvs Qatar1–0W
31 Marvs FYR Macedonia0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Israel and Rep. Of Ireland.

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria4220+48
2Kosovo4121-15
3Rep. Of Ireland4121+25
4Israel4022-52

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Lithuania1 Azerbaijan1 140%2.38X25%2.80235%3.10 1.1–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.00 ✓
FT Serbia1 Netherlands2 115%6.50X20%4.50265%1.36 0.7–1.8xG 2Netherlands to win 65%@1.36 ✓
FT Denmark2 Wales0 167%1.40X19%4.20214%6.50 2.1–0.9xG 1Denmark to win 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Austria3 Kosovo1 164%1.50X23%3.90213%5.50 1.8–0.7xG 1Austria to win 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Gibraltar0 Andorra0 143%3.40X26%2.62230%2.30 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.40 ✗
FT Germany0 Greece1 168%1.36X20%4.60212%6.50 1.9–0.6xG 1Germany to win 68%@1.36 ✗
FT Norway1 Portugal2 143%2.40X21%3.40235%2.50 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

On our numbers Israel have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rep. Of Ireland 45%.

How many goals will there be in Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

Our predicted score is Israel 1–1 Rep. Of Ireland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Nagyerdei Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.