Norway v Portugal Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNorway to win ✗43% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Norway vs Portugal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Norway welcome Portugal to Ullevaal Stadion for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Sunday 27 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Norway are 4th on 3 points after 4 matches; Portugal are 1st with 12.

Current form

Norway, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Denmark, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Portugal, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wales, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Norway 1.6 xG, Portugal 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Norway 43%, draw 21%, Portugal 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norway 1–1 Portugal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Norway43%fair 2.31 · @2.40

Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40

Portugal35%fair 2.82 · @2.50

3.00Expected goals

1.59Norway xG

1.41Portugal xG

62%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–28%

0–17%

2–06%

From our goals model: Norway 1.6 – 1.4 Portugal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Norway to win ✗	43%	2.31	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.60	1.40
Draw no bet	Norway (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Portugal +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Norway to score first ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Norway / FT Norway ✗	25%	4.02	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.28	–

Norway – last 6

WDWWLW

24 Sep	vs Denmark	3–2	W
11 Jul	vs England	1–1	D
5 Jul	@ Brazil	2–1	W
30 Jun	@ Ivory Coast	2–1	W
26 Jun	vs France	1–4	L
23 Jun	vs Senegal	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Portugal – last 6

WLWDWD

24 Sep	vs Wales	1–0	W
6 Jul	vs Spain	0–1	L
3 Jul	vs Croatia	2–1	W
28 Jun	@ Colombia	0–0	D
23 Jun	vs Uzbekistan	5–0	W
17 Jun	vs Congo DR	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	4	4	0	+5	12
2	Denmark	4	2	2	0	6
3	Wales	4	1	3	-3	3
4	Norway	4	1	3	-2	3

Team

Pts

-3

-2

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Norway vs Portugal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Norway vs Portugal?

On our numbers Norway have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portugal 35%.

How many goals will there be in Norway vs Portugal?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Norway vs Portugal?

Our predicted score is Norway 1–1 Portugal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Norway vs Portugal?

Norway vs Portugal (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ullevaal Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Norway v Portugal: numbers & prediction