Germany v Greece Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGermany to win ✗68% · @1.36

Double chanceGermany or draw ✗88% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Germany vs Greece: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Greece travel to face Germany on Sunday 27 September in the UEFA Nations League, with WWK Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Germany are 3rd on 5 points after 4 matches; Greece are 2nd with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Germany, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Netherlands, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Greece, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Serbia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Germany, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Greece.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Germany 1.9 xG, Greece 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Germany 68%, draw 20%, Greece 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Germany to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germany 1–0 Greece. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Germany68%fair 1.47 · @1.36

Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.60

Greece12%fair 8.51 · @6.50

2.50Expected goals

1.88Germany xG

0.62Greece xG

52%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–015%

1–110%

3–09%

2–19%

0–08%

From our goals model: Germany 1.9 – 0.6 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Germany to win ✗	68%	1.47	1.36
Double chance	Germany or draw ✗	88%	1.13	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.67
Draw no bet	Germany (draw no bet) ✗	85%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Germany -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Germany to score first ✗	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Germany ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Germany / FT Germany ✗	43%	2.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.12	–

Germany – last 6

DDLWWW

24 Sep	@ Netherlands	1–1	D
29 Jun	vs Paraguay	1–1	D
25 Jun	@ Ecuador	1–2	L
20 Jun	vs Ivory Coast	2–1	W
14 Jun	vs Curaçao	7–1	W
6 Jun	@ USA	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Greece – last 5

WLDDL

24 Sep	@ Serbia	2–1	W
7 Jun	vs Italy	0–1	L
4 Jun	@ Sweden	2–2	D
31 Mar	@ Hungary	0–0	D
27 Mar	vs Paraguay	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Greece	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Germany	4	1	2	1	+1	5
4	Serbia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Team

Pts

-5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Germany vs Greece?

Our pick is Germany to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Germany vs Greece?

On our numbers Germany have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Greece 12%.

How many goals will there be in Germany vs Greece?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Germany vs Greece?

Our predicted score is Germany 1–0 Greece, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Germany vs Greece?

Germany vs Greece (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at WWK Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Germany v Greece: numbers & prediction