Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultDenmark to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceDenmark or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Denmark vs Wales: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Denmark v Wales in the UEFA Nations League, played at Parken Stadium. In the table, Denmark are 2nd on 6 points after 4 matches; Wales are 3rd with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Denmark, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Norway, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Wales, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portugal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Denmark, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Wales.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Denmark 2.1 xG, Wales 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Denmark 67%, draw 19%, Wales 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Denmark to win (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denmark 2–0 Wales. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Denmark67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.20
Wales14%fair 7.16 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.14Denmark xG
0.86Wales xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Denmark 2.1 – 0.9 Wales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denmark to win✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Double chance
Denmark or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Denmark (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Denmark -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Denmark to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Denmark ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denmark / FT Denmark✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Denmark – last 3
LDW
24 Sep
@ Norway
2–3
L
3 Jun
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
26 Mar
vs FYR Macedonia
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wales – last 4
LLDD
24 Sep
@ Portugal
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Romania
1–2
L
2 Jun
vs Ghana
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Northern Ireland
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denmark and Wales.
Our pick is Denmark to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Denmark vs Wales?
On our numbers Denmark have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Wales 14%.
How many goals will there be in Denmark vs Wales?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Wales?
Our predicted score is Denmark 2–0 Wales, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Denmark vs Wales?
Denmark vs Wales (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parken Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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