Armenia vs Montenegro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montenegro travel to face Armenia on Monday 28 September in the UEFA Nations League, with Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Armenia are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Montenegro are 1st with 10.
Current form
Armenia, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Latvia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Montenegro, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cyprus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Montenegro, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Armenia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Armenia 1.2 xG, Montenegro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Armenia 37%, draw 23%, Montenegro 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Armenia 1–1 Montenegro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Armenia37%fair 2.68 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Montenegro39%fair 2.55 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.23Armenia xG
1.27Montenegro xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Armenia 1.2 – 1.3 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montenegro to win✓
39%
2.55
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Montenegro (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Armenia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Montenegro to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montenegro / FT Montenegro✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Armenia – last 4
WDDL
25 Sep
vs Latvia
2–0
W
9 Jun
vs Moldova
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Kazakhstan
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Belarus
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Montenegro – last 5
WDWLW
25 Sep
vs Cyprus
2–1
W
5 Jun
@ Slovakia
2–2
D
1 Jun
@ Bulgaria
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Slovenia
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Andorra
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Armenia and Montenegro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Armenia vs Montenegro?
On our numbers Armenia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montenegro 39%.
How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Montenegro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Armenia vs Montenegro?
Our predicted score is Armenia 1–1 Montenegro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Armenia vs Montenegro?
Armenia vs Montenegro (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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