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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Romania v Bosnia & Herzegovina: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Arena Națională

Romania

LWDLL
2–4
FT

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DLWLD
Romania 39%Draw 23%Bosnia & Herzegovina 38% Expected goals 0.76 – 0.74
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.91Odds
2

Value bet: Bosnia & Herzegovina to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRomania to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bosnia & Herzegovina travel to face Romania on Monday 28 September in the UEFA Nations League, with Arena Națională the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Romania are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd with 8.

Current form

Romania, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sweden, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bosnia & Herzegovina, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Poland, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Romania 0.8 xG, Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Romania 39%, draw 23%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 38%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Bosnia & Herzegovina to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Romania 0–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Romania39%fair 2.55 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Bosnia & Herzegovina38%fair 2.63 · @3.20
1.50Expected goals
0.76Romania xG
0.74Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
1–017%
0–117%
1–113%
2–06%
0–26%

From our goals model: Romania 0.8 – 0.7 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRomania to win ✗39%2.552.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.91
Draw no betRomania (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapBosnia & Herzegovina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
First team to scoreRomania to score first39%2.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.90–

Recent results

Romania – last 5

LWDLL
25 Sep@ Sweden1–2L
6 Junvs Wales2–1W
2 Jun@ Georgia1–1D
31 Mar@ Slovakia0–2L
26 Mar@ Türkiye0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6

DLWLDD
25 Sep@ Poland0–0D
2 Jul@ USA0–2L
24 Junvs Qatar3–1W
18 Jun@ Switzerland1–4L
12 Jun@ Canada1–1D
6 Jun@ Panama1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Georgia0 Ukraine0 131%2.60X24%3.00245%2.62 0.4–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.91 ✓
FT Armenia2 Montenegro3 137%2.75X23%3.00239%2.45 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✓
FT Latvia0 Cyprus0 139%2.50X24%3.00237%2.70 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.85 ✗
FT Belgium0 France1 126%3.40X14%3.75261%1.85 0.4–1.1xG 2France to win 61%@1.85 ✓
FT Türkiye1 Italy4 134%2.50X22%3.30244%2.50 0.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Northern Ireland0 Hungary0 123%2.62X54%2.90223%2.62 0.5–0.5xG 1XNorthern Ireland or draw 77%@1.44 ✓
FT Sweden3 Poland1 149%2.00X21%3.50230%3.20 0.9–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

On our numbers Romania have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 38%.

How many goals will there be in Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our predicted score is Romania 0–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Națională.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.