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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Northern Ireland v Hungary: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Puskás Aréna

Northern Ireland

WLWDL
0–0
FT

Hungary

LWWD
Northern Ireland 23%Draw 54%Hungary 23% Expected goals 0.50 – 0.50
77%
Betarazi pick

Northern Ireland or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.44Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 2.90 – our chance 54% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +55%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓54% · @2.90
Double chanceNorthern Ireland or draw ✓77% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓37% · fair 2.72

Northern Ireland vs Hungary: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Monday 28 September: Northern Ireland v Hungary in the UEFA Nations League, played at Puskás Aréna. In the table, Northern Ireland are 1st on 8 points after 4 matches; Hungary are 2nd with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Northern Ireland, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Georgia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Hungary, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ukraine, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northern Ireland 0.5 xG, Hungary 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Northern Ireland 23%, draw 54%, Hungary 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Northern Ireland or draw (77%) at 1.44.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Northern Ireland or draw (77%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northern Ireland23%fair 4.31 · @2.62
Draw54%fair 1.87 · @2.90
Hungary23%fair 4.31 · @2.62
1.00Expected goals
0.50Northern Ireland xG
0.50Hungary xG
42%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–018%
0–118%
1–19%
2–05%
0–25%

From our goals model: Northern Ireland 0.5 – 0.5 Hungary expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓54%1.872.90 ▲
Double chanceNorthern Ireland or draw ✓77%1.301.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betNorthern Ireland (draw no bet)50%2.00–
Asian handicapHungary +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✓37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓37%2.72–

Recent results

Northern Ireland – last 5

WLWDL
25 Sep@ Georgia1–0W
8 Jun@ France1–3L
4 Junvs Guinea1–0W
31 Mar@ Wales1–1D
26 Mar@ Italy0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Hungary – last 4

LWWD
25 Sepvs Ukraine0–1L
9 Junvs Kazakhstan3–1W
5 Junvs Finland2–1W
31 Marvs Greece0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland and Hungary.

Northern Ireland vs Hungary head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland4220+48
2Hungary4211+17
3Ukraine4112-34
4Georgia4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Georgia0 Ukraine0 131%2.60X24%3.00245%2.62 0.4–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.91 ✓
FT Armenia2 Montenegro3 137%2.75X23%3.00239%2.45 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✓
FT Latvia0 Cyprus0 139%2.50X24%3.00237%2.70 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.85 ✗
FT Belgium0 France1 126%3.40X14%3.75261%1.85 0.4–1.1xG 2France to win 61%@1.85 ✓
FT Türkiye1 Italy4 134%2.50X22%3.30244%2.50 0.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Sweden3 Poland1 149%2.00X21%3.50230%3.20 0.9–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@1.60 ✓
FT Romania2 Bosnia & Herzegovina4 139%2.10X23%3.20238%3.20 0.8–0.7xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Our pick is Northern Ireland or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

On our numbers Northern Ireland have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Hungary 23%.

How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Our predicted score is Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Northern Ireland vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.