On Monday 28 September the UEFA Nations League brings Latvia against Cyprus at Skonto. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Latvia are 4th on 1 points after 4 matches; Cyprus are 2nd with 7.
Current form
Latvia, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Armenia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cyprus, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Montenegro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latvia 1.3 xG, Cyprus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latvia 39%, draw 24%, Cyprus 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latvia 1–1 Cyprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latvia39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Cyprus37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.27Latvia xG
1.23Cyprus xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Latvia 1.3 – 1.2 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latvia to win✗
39%
2.57
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Latvia (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Cyprus +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Latvia to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latvia / FT Latvia✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
Latvia – last 4
LLWW
25 Sep
@ Armenia
0–2
L
9 Jun
vs Faroe Islands
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Gibraltar
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Gibraltar
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cyprus – last 5
LWDWL
25 Sep
@ Montenegro
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Liechtenstein
2–0
W
4 Jun
@ Slovenia
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Moldova
3–2
W
26 Mar
vs Belarus
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia and Cyprus.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Latvia vs Cyprus?
On our numbers Latvia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cyprus 37%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia vs Cyprus?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia vs Cyprus?
Our predicted score is Latvia 1–1 Cyprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Latvia vs Cyprus?
Latvia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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