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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Tofiq Bəhramov

Azerbaijan

DWWLW
0–0
FT

Liechtenstein

LLLLL
Azerbaijan 74%Draw 17%Liechtenstein 9% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.32
59%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultAzerbaijan to win ✗74% · @1.12
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.40

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Azerbaijan welcome Liechtenstein to Tofiq Bəhramov for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 1 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Azerbaijan are 1st on 5 points after 3 matches; Liechtenstein are 3rd with 1.

Current form

Azerbaijan, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lithuania, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Liechtenstein, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Malta, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Azerbaijan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Liechtenstein.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Azerbaijan 1.7 xG, Liechtenstein 0.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Azerbaijan 74%, draw 17%, Liechtenstein 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (59%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Azerbaijan 1–0 Liechtenstein. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Azerbaijan74%fair 1.36 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @7.00
Liechtenstein9%fair 11.39 · @19.00
2.00Expected goals
1.68Azerbaijan xG
0.32Liechtenstein xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
2–019%
0–014%
3–011%
1–17%
2–16%

From our goals model: Azerbaijan 1.7 – 0.3 Liechtenstein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAzerbaijan to win ✗74%1.361.12
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓91%1.101.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.701.36
Draw no betAzerbaijan (draw no bet)89%1.12–
Asian handicapAzerbaijan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreAzerbaijan to score first ✗73%1.38–
Half-time resultAzerbaijan ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.40–

Recent results

Azerbaijan – last 5

DWWLW
27 Sep@ Lithuania1–1D
23 Sepvs Tajikistan1–0W
9 Junvs San Marino2–1W
5 Junvs Malta0–2L
27 Marvs St. Lucia6–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Liechtenstein – last 6

LLLLLW
27 Sep@ Malta0–2L
24 Sepvs Lithuania0–2L
7 Junvs Cyprus0–2L
4 Jun@ Andorra0–2L
29 Mar@ Aruba1–4L
26 Mar@ Tanzania1–0W
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein.

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azerbaijan3120+15
2Lithuania3111+14
3Liechtenstein2011-21

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Germany2 Serbia0 170%1.20X20%6.00210%11.00 1.8–0.5xG 1Germany to win 70%@1.20 ✓
FT Greece2 Netherlands2 133%3.20X22%3.30245%2.05 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.57 ✓
FT Denmark2 Portugal4 125%3.30X20%3.40255%1.95 1.0–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.62 ✓
FT Wales2 Norway1 113%6.00X22%4.40265%1.40 0.8–2.0xG 2Norway to win 65%@1.40 ✗
FT Rep. Of Ireland2 Austria2 135%3.40X24%3.00241%2.10 1.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✓
FT Israel0 Kosovo0 129%3.00X23%3.10248%2.20 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.70 ✗
FT Malta1 Gibraltar1 171%1.25X22%4.8026%11.00 1.3–0.2xG 1Malta to win 71%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?

On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Liechtenstein 9%.

How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?

Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 1–0 Liechtenstein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.