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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rep. Of Ireland v Austria: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Aviva Stadium

Rep. Of Ireland

WLDWD
2–2
FT

Austria

WWLDL
Rep. Of Ireland 35%Draw 24%Austria 41% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.58
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.91Odds
1

Value bet: Rep. Of Ireland to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAustria to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rep. Of Ireland welcome Austria to Aviva Stadium for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 1 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Rep. Of Ireland are 3rd on 5 points after 4 matches; Austria are 1st with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rep. Of Ireland, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Israel, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Austria, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kosovo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rep. Of Ireland 1.4 xG, Austria 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rep. Of Ireland 35%, draw 24%, Austria 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Rep. Of Ireland to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Austria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rep. Of Ireland35%fair 2.89 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Austria41%fair 2.41 · @2.10
3.00Expected goals
1.42Rep. Of Ireland xG
1.58Austria xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Rep. Of Ireland 1.4 – 1.6 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustria to win ✗41%2.412.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.91 ▲
Draw no betAustria (draw no bet)55%1.83–
Asian handicapRep. Of Ireland +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreAustria to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austria / FT Austria ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

Rep. Of Ireland – last 5

WLDWD
27 Sep@ Israel3–0W
24 Sep@ Kosovo0–1L
6 Jun@ Canada1–1D
28 Mayvs Qatar1–0W
31 Marvs FYR Macedonia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Austria – last 6

WWLDLW
27 Sepvs Kosovo3–1W
24 Sepvs Israel3–1W
2 Jul@ Spain0–3L
28 Jun@ Algeria3–3D
22 Jun@ Argentina0–2L
17 Junvs Jordan3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rep. Of Ireland and Austria.

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria4220+48
2Kosovo4121-15
3Rep. Of Ireland4121+25
4Israel4022-52

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Azerbaijan0 Liechtenstein0 174%1.12X17%7.0029%19.00 1.7–0.3xG NGNot both teams to score 59%@1.36 ✓
FT Germany2 Serbia0 170%1.20X20%6.00210%11.00 1.8–0.5xG 1Germany to win 70%@1.20 ✓
FT Greece2 Netherlands2 133%3.20X22%3.30245%2.05 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.57 ✓
FT Denmark2 Portugal4 125%3.30X20%3.40255%1.95 1.0–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.62 ✓
FT Wales2 Norway1 113%6.00X22%4.40265%1.40 0.8–2.0xG 2Norway to win 65%@1.40 ✗
FT Israel0 Kosovo0 129%3.00X23%3.10248%2.20 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.70 ✗
FT Malta1 Gibraltar1 171%1.25X22%4.8026%11.00 1.3–0.2xG 1Malta to win 71%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?

On our numbers Rep. Of Ireland have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austria 41%.

How many goals will there be in Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?

Our predicted score is Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Austria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Aviva Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.