Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Denmark v Portugal: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Parken Stadium

Denmark

WLDW
2–4
FT

Portugal

WWLWD
Denmark 25%Draw 20%Portugal 55% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.71
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Portugal to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPortugal to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Denmark vs Portugal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Thursday 1 October: Denmark v Portugal in the UEFA Nations League, played at Parken Stadium. In the table, Denmark are 2nd on 6 points after 4 matches; Portugal are 1st with 12.

Current form

Denmark, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wales, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Portugal, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Norway, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Denmark 1.0 xG, Portugal 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Denmark 25%, draw 20%, Portugal 55%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Portugal to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denmark 1–1 Portugal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Denmark25%fair 4.01 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Portugal55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
2.75Expected goals
1.04Denmark xG
1.71Portugal xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Denmark 1.0 – 1.7 Portugal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugal to win ✓55%1.821.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betPortugal (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapDenmark +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
First team to scorePortugal to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugal / FT Portugal ✓32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Denmark – last 4

WLDW
27 Sepvs Wales2–0W
24 Sep@ Norway2–3L
3 Jun@ Congo DR0–0D
26 Marvs FYR Macedonia4–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portugal – last 6

WWLWDW
27 Sep@ Norway2–1W
24 Sepvs Wales1–0W
6 Julvs Spain0–1L
3 Julvs Croatia2–1W
28 Jun@ Colombia0–0D
23 Junvs Uzbekistan5–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Denmark and Portugal.

Denmark vs Portugal head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Azerbaijan0 Liechtenstein0 174%1.12X17%7.0029%19.00 1.7–0.3xG NGNot both teams to score 59%@1.36 ✓
FT Germany2 Serbia0 170%1.20X20%6.00210%11.00 1.8–0.5xG 1Germany to win 70%@1.20 ✓
FT Greece2 Netherlands2 133%3.20X22%3.30245%2.05 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.57 ✓
FT Wales2 Norway1 113%6.00X22%4.40265%1.40 0.8–2.0xG 2Norway to win 65%@1.40 ✗
FT Rep. Of Ireland2 Austria2 135%3.40X24%3.00241%2.10 1.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✓
FT Israel0 Kosovo0 129%3.00X23%3.10248%2.20 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.70 ✗
FT Malta1 Gibraltar1 171%1.25X22%4.8026%11.00 1.3–0.2xG 1Malta to win 71%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Denmark vs Portugal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Denmark vs Portugal?

On our numbers Denmark have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Portugal 55%.

How many goals will there be in Denmark vs Portugal?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Portugal?

Our predicted score is Denmark 1–1 Portugal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Denmark vs Portugal?

Denmark vs Portugal (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Parken Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.