Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗30% · fair 3.33
Malta vs Gibraltar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 1 October the UEFA Nations League brings Malta against Gibraltar at Ta'Qali National Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Malta are 1st on 7 points after 3 matches; Gibraltar are 2nd with 2.
Current form
Malta, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Liechtenstein, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Gibraltar, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Andorra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malta 1.3 xG, Gibraltar 0.2 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malta 71%, draw 22%, Gibraltar 6%.
GG/NG: NG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malta to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malta 1–0 Gibraltar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malta71%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.80
Gibraltar6%fair 15.45 · @11.00
1.50Expected goals
1.35Malta xG
0.15Gibraltar xG
37%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–030%
0–022%
2–020%
3–09%
1–15%
0–13%
From our goals model: Malta 1.3 – 0.2 Gibraltar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malta to win✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Double chance
Malta or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Draw no bet
Malta (draw no bet)
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Malta -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Malta to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malta / FT Malta✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
30%
3.33
–
Recent results
Malta – last 6
WWWLLL
27 Sep
vs Liechtenstein
2–0
W
24 Sep
@ Andorra
2–1
W
5 Jun
@ Azerbaijan
2–0
W
1 Jun
@ Slovakia
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Luxembourg
0–3
L
26 Mar
vs Luxembourg
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gibraltar – last 6
DDWWLL
27 Sep
vs Andorra
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Sao Tome and Principe
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Cayman Islands
4–1
W
3 Jun
vs British Virgin Islands
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Latvia
0–1
L
26 Mar
vs Latvia
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malta and Gibraltar.
Our pick is Malta to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malta vs Gibraltar?
On our numbers Malta have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gibraltar 6%.
How many goals will there be in Malta vs Gibraltar?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malta vs Gibraltar?
Our predicted score is Malta 1–0 Gibraltar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Malta vs Gibraltar?
Malta vs Gibraltar (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ta'Qali National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Azerbaijan0
Liechtenstein0
Germany2
Serbia0
Greece2
Netherlands2
Denmark2
Portugal4
Wales2
Norway1
Rep. Of Ireland2
Austria2
Israel0
Kosovo0