Israel v Kosovo Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKosovo to win ✗48% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61

Israel vs Kosovo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kosovo travel to face Israel on Thursday 1 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Nagyerdei Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Israel are 4th on 2 points after 4 matches; Kosovo are 2nd with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Israel, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rep. Of Ireland, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Kosovo, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Austria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kosovo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Israel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Israel 1.3 xG, Kosovo 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Israel 29%, draw 23%, Kosovo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Israel 1–1 Kosovo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Israel29%fair 3.46 · @3.00

Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10

Kosovo48%fair 2.08 · @2.20

3.00Expected goals

1.28Israel xG

1.72Kosovo xG

61%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–19%

0–27%

2–17%

1–06%

From our goals model: Israel 1.3 – 1.7 Kosovo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kosovo to win ✗	48%	2.08	2.20 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.65	1.70
Draw no bet	Kosovo (draw no bet)	62%	1.60	–
Asian handicap	Israel +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Kosovo to score first ✗	54%	1.84	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kosovo / FT Kosovo ✗	29%	3.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.61	–

Israel – last 4

LLWD

27 Sep	vs Rep. Of Ireland	0–3	L
24 Sep	@ Austria	1–3	L
3 Jun	@ Albania	1–0	W
26 Mar	@ Georgia	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Kosovo – last 6

LWWLLW

27 Sep	@ Austria	1–3	L
24 Sep	vs Rep. Of Ireland	1–0	W
7 Jun	vs Andorra	3–0	W
31 May	@ Czech Republic	1–2	L
31 Mar	vs Türkiye	0–1	L
26 Mar	@ Slovakia	4–3	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
3	Rep. Of Ireland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	-5	2

Team

Pts

-1

-5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Israel vs Kosovo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Israel vs Kosovo?

On our numbers Israel have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kosovo 48%.

How many goals will there be in Israel vs Kosovo?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Israel vs Kosovo?

Our predicted score is Israel 1–1 Kosovo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Israel vs Kosovo?

Israel vs Kosovo (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Nagyerdei Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Israel v Kosovo: numbers & prediction