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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ukraine v Hungary: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Štadión Antona Malatinského

Ukraine

LDWWW
1–2
FT

Hungary

WDLWW
Ukraine 37%Draw 23%Hungary 39% Expected goals 0.49 – 0.51
59%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultHungary to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.28

Ukraine vs Hungary: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Monday 5 October: Ukraine v Hungary in the UEFA Nations League, played at Štadión Antona Malatinského. In the table, Ukraine are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Hungary are 2nd with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ukraine, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Northern Ireland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Hungary, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Georgia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Hungary 0–1 Ukraine.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ukraine 0.5 xG, Hungary 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ukraine 37%, draw 23%, Hungary 39%.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ukraine 0–0 Hungary. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ukraine37%fair 2.68 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Hungary39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
1.00Expected goals
0.49Ukraine xG
0.51Hungary xG
41%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%

From our goals model: Ukraine 0.5 – 0.5 Hungary expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHungary to win ✓39%2.552.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.681.91 ▲
Draw no betHungary (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapUkraine +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.28–

Recent results

Ukraine – last 6

LDWWWL
2 Octvs Northern Ireland0–3L
28 Sep@ Georgia0–0D
25 Sep@ Hungary1–0W
31 May@ Poland2–0W
31 Marvs Albania1–0W
26 Marvs Sweden1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hungary – last 6

WDLWWD
2 Octvs Georgia1–0W
28 Sep@ Northern Ireland0–0D
25 Sepvs Ukraine0–1L
9 Junvs Kazakhstan3–1W
5 Junvs Finland2–1W
31 Marvs Greece0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Hungary v Ukraine0–1
Ukraine vs Hungary head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland4220+48
2Hungary4211+17
3Ukraine4112-34
4Georgia4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Cyprus2 Latvia1 165%1.62X21%3.50214%5.00 1.3–0.4xG 1Cyprus to win 65%@1.62 ✓
FT France4 Belgium1 164%1.50X19%4.20217%5.00 1.3–0.4xG 1France to win 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Italy3 Türkiye1 163%1.40X18%4.60219%6.50 2.0–1.0xG 1Italy to win 63%@1.40 ✓
FT Northern Ireland0 Georgia0 152%2.30X25%2.90223%3.10 0.7–0.3xG 1XNorthern Ireland or draw 77%@1.33 ✓
FT Bosnia & Herzegovina1 Poland0 133%2.90X23%3.20244%2.30 1.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 ✗
FT Romania0 Sweden1 116%4.00X20%3.70264%1.73 1.3–2.7xG X2Sweden or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Montenegro0 Armenia0 165%1.50X20%4.00216%5.50 2.3–1.0xG 1Montenegro to win 65%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ukraine vs Hungary?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Ukraine vs Hungary?

On our numbers Ukraine have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hungary 39%.

How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Hungary?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ukraine vs Hungary?

Our predicted score is Ukraine 0–0 Hungary, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Ukraine vs Hungary?

Ukraine vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Štadión Antona Malatinského.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.