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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montenegro v Armenia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Gradski Stadion

Montenegro

WWWDW
0–0
FT

Armenia

LLWDD
Montenegro 65%Draw 20%Armenia 16% Expected goals 2.28 – 1.05
65%
Betarazi pick

Montenegro to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMontenegro to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceMontenegro or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Montenegro vs Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Monday 5 October: Montenegro v Armenia in the UEFA Nations League, played at Gradski Stadion. In the table, Montenegro are 1st on 10 points after 4 matches; Armenia are 3rd with 4.

Current form

Montenegro, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Latvia, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Armenia, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cyprus, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Montenegro, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Armenia.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Armenia 2–3 Montenegro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montenegro 2.3 xG, Armenia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montenegro 65%, draw 20%, Armenia 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Montenegro or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Montenegro to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montenegro 2–1 Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montenegro65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.00
Armenia16%fair 6.37 · @5.50
3.33Expected goals
2.28Montenegro xG
1.05Armenia xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Montenegro 2.3 – 1.0 Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontenegro to win ✗65%1.551.50
Double chanceMontenegro or draw ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.80 ▲
Draw no betMontenegro (draw no bet)80%1.24–
Asian handicapMontenegro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreMontenegro to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultMontenegro ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montenegro / FT Montenegro ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Montenegro – last 6

WWWDWL
2 Oct@ Latvia2–1W
28 Sep@ Armenia3–2W
25 Sepvs Cyprus2–1W
5 Jun@ Slovakia2–2D
1 Jun@ Bulgaria1–0W
31 Marvs Slovenia2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Armenia – last 6

LLWDDL
2 Oct@ Cyprus0–2L
28 Sepvs Montenegro2–3L
25 Sepvs Latvia2–0W
9 Junvs Moldova1–1D
6 Junvs Kazakhstan1–1D
29 Marvs Belarus1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Sep 2026Armenia v Montenegro2–3
Montenegro vs Armenia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro4310+310
2Cyprus4211+27
3Armenia4112-14
4Latvia4013-41

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Cyprus2 Latvia1 165%1.62X21%3.50214%5.00 1.3–0.4xG 1Cyprus to win 65%@1.62 ✓
FT France4 Belgium1 164%1.50X19%4.20217%5.00 1.3–0.4xG 1France to win 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Italy3 Türkiye1 163%1.40X18%4.60219%6.50 2.0–1.0xG 1Italy to win 63%@1.40 ✓
FT Ukraine1 Hungary2 137%2.40X23%3.00239%2.80 0.5–0.5xG NGNot both teams to score 59%@1.91 ✗
FT Northern Ireland0 Georgia0 152%2.30X25%2.90223%3.10 0.7–0.3xG 1XNorthern Ireland or draw 77%@1.33 ✓
FT Bosnia & Herzegovina1 Poland0 133%2.90X23%3.20244%2.30 1.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 ✗
FT Romania0 Sweden1 116%4.00X20%3.70264%1.73 1.3–2.7xG X2Sweden or draw 84%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montenegro vs Armenia?

Our pick is Montenegro to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Montenegro vs Armenia?

On our numbers Montenegro have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Armenia 16%.

How many goals will there be in Montenegro vs Armenia?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montenegro vs Armenia?

Our predicted score is Montenegro 2–1 Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Montenegro vs Armenia?

Montenegro vs Armenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.