Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCyprus to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceCyprus or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.07
Cyprus vs Latvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the UEFA Nations League brings Cyprus against Latvia at GSP Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Cyprus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Latvia are 4th with 1.
Current form
Cyprus, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Armenia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Latvia, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Montenegro, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cyprus, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Latvia.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Latvia 0–0 Cyprus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cyprus 1.3 xG, Latvia 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cyprus 65%, draw 21%, Latvia 14%.
Lower-risk option: Cyprus or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cyprus to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cyprus 1–0 Latvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cyprus65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Latvia14%fair 7.04 · @5.00
1.67Expected goals
1.31Cyprus xG
0.36Latvia xG
47%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cyprus 1.3 – 0.4 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cyprus to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cyprus vs Latvia?
On our numbers Cyprus have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Latvia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Latvia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cyprus vs Latvia?
Our predicted score is Cyprus 1–0 Latvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Cyprus vs Latvia?
Cyprus vs Latvia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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