Bosnia & Herzegovina v Poland Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPoland to win ✗44% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Poland travel to face Bosnia & Herzegovina on Monday 5 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Stadion Bilino Polje the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd on 8 points after 4 matches; Poland are 3rd with 4.

Current form

Bosnia & Herzegovina, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sweden, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Poland, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Romania, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Poland 0–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.4 xG, Poland 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bosnia & Herzegovina 33%, draw 23%, Poland 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Poland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bosnia & Herzegovina33%fair 2.99 · @2.90

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20

Poland44%fair 2.28 · @2.30

3.00Expected goals

1.38Bosnia & Herzegovina xG

1.62Poland xG

62%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.4 – 1.6 Poland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Poland to win ✗	44%	2.28	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.61	1.67
Draw no bet	Poland (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.76	–
Asian handicap	Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Poland to score first ✗	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Poland / FT Poland ✗	26%	3.88	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.11	–

Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6

DWDLWL

2 Oct	vs Sweden	1–1	D
28 Sep	@ Romania	4–2	W
25 Sep	@ Poland	0–0	D
2 Jul	@ USA	0–2	L
24 Jun	vs Qatar	3–1	W
18 Jun	@ Switzerland	1–4	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Poland – last 6

WLDDLL

2 Oct	vs Romania	6–0	W
28 Sep	@ Sweden	1–3	L
25 Sep	vs Bosnia & Herzegovina	0–0	D
3 Jun	vs Nigeria	2–2	D
31 May	vs Ukraine	0–2	L
31 Mar	@ Sweden	2–3	L

1.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sweden	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Poland	4	1	1	2	+3	4
4	Romania	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Poland 44%.

How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Our predicted score is Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Poland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bilino Polje.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bosnia & Herzegovina v Poland: numbers & prediction