Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chance9 de Julio Rafaela or draw ✓72% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.04
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Torneo Federal A brings 9 de Julio Rafaela against Gimnasia Chivilcoy at El Coloso. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th (upper half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over El Linqueño, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Escobar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 xG, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 28%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 28%.
Lower-risk option: 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw (72%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
9 de Julio Rafaela44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.88
Gimnasia Chivilcoy28%fair 3.62 · @3.60
2.22Expected goals
1.279 de Julio Rafaela xG
0.95Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 0.9 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
9 de Julio Rafaela
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+33%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+34%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.24
0.94
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
9 de Julio Rafaela to win✓
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
9 de Julio Rafaela or draw✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
9 de Julio Rafaela (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
9 de Julio Rafaela to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 9 de Julio Rafaela / FT 9 de Julio Rafaela✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.04
–
Recent results
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WLDDLW
23 Jun
vs El Linqueño
3–2
W
13 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2–2
D
31 May
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
2–2
D
24 May
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–2
L
17 May
vs Douglas Haig
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
WDDLWL
20 Jun
vs Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 28%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
