Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.47
Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Torneo Federal A brings Germinal de Rawson against Santamarina at Estadio El Fortin. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Germinal de Rawson, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villa Mitre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Santamarina, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Villa Mitre, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 1.4 xG, Santamarina 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 65%, draw 25%, Santamarina 11%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germinal de Rawson65%fair 1.54 · @1.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.70
Santamarina11%fair 9.40 · @13.00
1.84Expected goals
1.40Germinal de Rawson xG
0.43Santamarina xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–016%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.4 – 0.4 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Germinal de Rawson
Santamarina
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-20%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+47%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.53
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✓
65%
1.54
1.30
Double chance
Germinal de Rawson or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.44
Draw no bet
Germinal de Rawson (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Germinal de Rawson -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Germinal de Rawson to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germinal de Rawson / FT Germinal de Rawson✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.47
–
Recent results
Germinal de Rawson – last 6
DDLWDD
14 Jun
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
30 May
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
24 May
vs Sol de Mayo
1–0
W
17 May
vs Guillermo Brown
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santamarina – last 6
LDWLLD
20 Jun
vs Villa Mitre
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
1–0
W
31 May
@ Sol de Mayo
2–3
L
24 May
vs Guillermo Brown
0–2
L
17 May
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Santamarina.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santamarina 11%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina?
Germinal de Rawson vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
