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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kimberley Mar del Plata v Guillermo Brown: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Jose Antonio Valle
Kimberley Mar del Plata 59%Draw 28%Guillermo Brown 13% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.40
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓59% · @1.60
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.21

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guillermo Brown travel to face Kimberley Mar del Plata on Sunday 28 June in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Jose Antonio Valle the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Guillermo Brown are 34th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Guillermo Brown, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sol de Mayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kimberley Mar del Plata, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Guillermo Brown.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.3 xG, Guillermo Brown 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kimberley Mar del Plata 59%, draw 28%, Guillermo Brown 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kimberley Mar del Plata59%fair 1.70 · @1.60
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
Guillermo Brown13%fair 7.76 · @6.00
1.70Expected goals
1.30Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.40Guillermo Brown xG
43%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–024%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.3 – 0.4 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Kimberley Mar del PlataGuillermo Brown
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+11%-27%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-4%
Our expected goals here1.280.35

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓59%1.701.60
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓87%1.151.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.771.36
Draw no betKimberley Mar del Plata (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapGuillermo Brown +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.881.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.361.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.131.10
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.061.02
First team to scoreKimberley Mar del Plata to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata ✓35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24%4.21–

Recent results

Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6

DDLWDW
20 Jun@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–0D
14 Junvs Alvarado2–2D
7 Jun@ Santamarina0–1L
30 Mayvs Germinal de Rawson1–0W
25 May@ Villa Mitre0–0D
17 May@ Circulo Deportivo1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Guillermo Brown – last 6

LDDWDL
21 Junvs Sol de Mayo0–1L
7 Jun@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–0D
31 Mayvs Alvarado0–0D
24 May@ Santamarina2–0W
17 May@ Germinal de Rawson1–1D
19 Apr@ Sol de Mayo0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kimberley Mar del Plata and Guillermo Brown.

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown?

On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Guillermo Brown 13%.

How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown?

Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown?

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.