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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Costa Brava v San Martín Mendoza: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu
2–1
FT
Costa Brava 58%Draw 28%San Martín Mendoza 15% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.57
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultCosta Brava to win ✓58% · @1.55
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.97

Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Martín Mendoza travel to face Costa Brava on Sunday 28 June in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Costa Brava are 27th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; San Martín Mendoza are 23rd (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Costa Brava, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atenas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

San Martín Mendoza, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Huracan Las Heras, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Costa Brava 1.3 xG, San Martín Mendoza 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Costa Brava 58%, draw 28%, San Martín Mendoza 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Costa Brava 1–0 San Martín Mendoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Costa Brava58%fair 1.73 · @1.55
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.20
San Martín Mendoza15%fair 6.83 · @6.25
1.86Expected goals
1.29Costa Brava xG
0.57San Martín Mendoza xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.3 – 0.6 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Costa BravaSan Martín Mendoza
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+1%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-4%+2%
Our expected goals here1.240.66

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCosta Brava to win ✓58%1.731.55
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✓85%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.761.40
Draw no betCosta Brava (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapSan Martín Mendoza +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.751.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.471.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.04
First team to scoreCosta Brava to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Costa Brava / FT Costa Brava ✓32%3.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.97–

Recent results

Costa Brava – last 6

DWDWLL
21 Jun@ Atenas1–1D
14 Junvs Cipolletti1–0W
7 Jun@ Juventud Unida Univ.0–0D
31 Mayvs Argentino Monte Maíz2–0W
24 May@ Fundacion Amigos0–2L
17 May@ Deportivo Rincon0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

San Martín Mendoza – last 6

WDWLLD
21 Junvs Huracan Las Heras3–1W
7 Jun@ Atenas0–0D
31 Mayvs Cipolletti1–0W
17 May@ Argentino Monte Maíz1–4L
29 Mar@ Cipolletti0–3L
21 Marvs Juventud Unida Univ.0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and San Martín Mendoza.

Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?

On our numbers Costa Brava have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martín Mendoza 15%.

How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?

Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?

Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.