Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.26
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alvarado travel to face Villa Mitre on Sunday 28 June in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio El Fortin the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Villa Mitre are 16th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Alvarado are 5th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Villa Mitre, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santamarina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Alvarado, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Circulo Deportivo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Mitre 0.9 xG, Alvarado 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Mitre 42%, draw 32%, Alvarado 26%.
Lower-risk option: Villa Mitre or draw (74%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Mitre 0–0 Alvarado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Mitre42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw32%fair 3.11 · @2.70
Alvarado26%fair 3.82 · @3.75
1.57Expected goals
0.91Villa Mitre xG
0.66Alvarado xG
42%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–021%
1–019%
0–114%
1–112%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 0.9 – 0.7 Alvarado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa Mitre
Alvarado
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+9%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.90
0.66
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Mitre to win✓
42%
2.40
2.05
Double chance
Villa Mitre or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.44
Draw no bet
Villa Mitre (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Alvarado +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
1.02
First team to score
Villa Mitre to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.26
–
Recent results
Villa Mitre – last 5
WDDWW
20 Jun
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
25 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Alvarado – last 6
WDWDWD
20 Jun
vs Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–2
D
7 Jun
vs Sol de Mayo
2–0
W
31 May
@ Guillermo Brown
0–0
D
24 May
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sol de Mayo
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Mitre and Alvarado.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Alvarado 26%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 0–0 Alvarado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
