ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✗35% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓68% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Independiente De Chivilcoy v Douglas Haig in the Torneo Federal A, played at Raul Orlando Lungarzo. In the table, Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Douglas Haig are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores de Belgrano VR, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Douglas Haig, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.9 xG, Douglas Haig 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente De Chivilcoy 35%, draw 32%, Douglas Haig 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 Douglas Haig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente De Chivilcoy35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw32%fair 3.14 · @2.70
Douglas Haig33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
1.82Expected goals
0.90Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.92Douglas Haig xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.9 – 0.9 Douglas Haig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente De Chivilcoy
Douglas Haig
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-9%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-29%
Our expected goals here
0.78
0.88
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente De Chivilcoy to win✗
35%
2.86
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.53
Draw no bet
Independiente De Chivilcoy (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Independiente De Chivilcoy +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Douglas Haig to score first✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.86
–
Recent results
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
LDDDDL
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
24 May
@ Atletico Escobar
0–0
D
17 May
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Douglas Haig – last 6
DLLDLW
20 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ El Linqueño
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
17 May
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–2
L
18 Apr
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–0
W
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Douglas Haig.
What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Douglas Haig 33%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 Douglas Haig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
