Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Torneo Federal A brings El Linqueño against Sportivo Belgrano at Leonardo Costa. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, El Linqueño are 26th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
El Linqueño, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to 9 de Julio Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Douglas Haig, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sportivo Belgrano, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for El Linqueño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Linqueño 1.1 xG, Sportivo Belgrano 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Linqueño 40%, draw 31%, Sportivo Belgrano 29%.
Lower-risk option: El Linqueño or draw (71%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was El Linqueño or draw (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Linqueño 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Linqueño40%fair 2.51 · @2.62
Draw31%fair 3.21 · @2.70
Sportivo Belgrano29%fair 3.44 · @2.75
1.78Expected goals
1.10El Linqueño xG
0.67Sportivo Belgrano xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–017%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Linqueño 1.1 – 0.7 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Linqueño
Sportivo Belgrano
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-10%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.12
0.43
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Linqueño to win✗
40%
2.51
2.62
Double chance
El Linqueño or draw✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.57
Draw no bet
El Linqueño (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
El Linqueño to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Linqueño / FT El Linqueño✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
El Linqueño – last 6
LWLLLD
23 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
14 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–1
L
31 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
24 May
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
17 May
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DWLWWW
20 Jun
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
24 May
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–0
W
17 May
@ Atletico Escobar
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Linqueño and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is El Linqueño or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers El Linqueño have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sportivo Belgrano 29%.
How many goals will there be in El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is El Linqueño 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonardo Costa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
