Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✗37% · @2.45
Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Circulo Deportivo welcome Olimpo Bahia Blanca to Estadio Guillermo Trama for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 28 June (19:00 WAT). In the table, Circulo Deportivo are 37th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Circulo Deportivo, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alvarado, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kimberley Mar del Plata, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Olimpo Bahia Blanca, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Circulo Deportivo.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Circulo Deportivo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Circulo Deportivo 0.7 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.8 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Circulo Deportivo 28%, draw 35%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 37%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw (72%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Circulo Deportivo28%fair 3.51 · @3.20
Draw35%fair 2.90 · @2.62
Olimpo Bahia Blanca37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
1.45Expected goals
0.66Circulo Deportivo xG
0.79Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–024%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–27%
2–05%
From our goals model: Circulo Deportivo 0.7 – 0.8 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Circulo Deportivo
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-25%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-34%
Our expected goals here
0.60
0.70
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Circulo Deportivo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 37%.
How many goals will there be in Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Trama.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
