Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.75
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Torneo Federal A brings Sarmiento de La Banda against Bartolomé Mitre at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Bartolomé Mitre are 9th (upper half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud Antoniana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Bartolomé Mitre, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventud Antoniana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarmiento de La Banda, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Bartolomé Mitre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento de La Banda 1.2 xG, Bartolomé Mitre 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento de La Banda 53%, draw 31%, Bartolomé Mitre 16%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento de La Banda53%fair 1.88 · @1.67
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @3.00
Bartolomé Mitre16%fair 6.20 · @5.25
1.75Expected goals
1.21Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.54Bartolomé Mitre xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.2 – 0.5 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sarmiento de La Banda
Bartolomé Mitre
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+2%
-40%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.07
0.49
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Bartolomé Mitre +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.04
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✓
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.75
–
Recent results
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
WWWWWD
13 Jun
@ Juventud Antoniana
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs Sol de América
2–0
W
31 May
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
1–0
W
25 May
vs Boca Unidos
3–0
W
17 May
vs Tucuman Central
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bartolomé Mitre – last 6
DDWLWW
20 Jun
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sol de América
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2–0
W
31 May
@ Boca Unidos
1–2
L
25 May
vs Tucuman Central
1–0
W
17 May
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Bartolomé Mitre.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Bartolomé Mitre 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
