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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águia de Marabá v Tocantinópolis: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira

Águia de Marabá

WLLDW
3–1
FT

Tocantinópolis

DDLDL
Águia de Marabá 55%Draw 25%Tocantinópolis 20% Expected goals 1.85 – 1.22
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguia de Marabá to win ✓55% · @1.65
Double chanceÁguia de Marabá or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Águia de Marabá welcome Tocantinópolis to Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 30 May (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Águia de Marabá, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Imperatriz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Tocantinópolis, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Porto Vitória, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Águia de Marabá, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tocantinópolis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águia de Marabá 1.8 xG, Tocantinópolis 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águia de Marabá 55%, draw 25%, Tocantinópolis 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Águia de Marabá or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águia de Marabá 1–1 Tocantinópolis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águia de Marabá55%fair 1.83 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Tocantinópolis20%fair 4.94 · @4.80
3.06Expected goals
1.85Águia de Marabá xG
1.22Tocantinópolis xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Águia de Marabá 1.8 – 1.2 Tocantinópolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguia de Marabá to win ✓55%1.831.65
Double chanceÁguia de Marabá or draw ✓80%1.251.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.85 ▲
Draw no betÁguia de Marabá (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapTocantinópolis +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreÁguia de Marabá to score first57%1.74–
Half-time resultÁguia de Marabá ahead at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águia de Marabá / FT Águia de Marabá ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Águia de Marabá – last 6

WLLDWW
23 May@ Imperatriz3–0W
17 May@ Tuna Luso1–2L
6 Mayvs Paysandu1–5L
29 Apr@ Porto Velho1–1D
16 Aprvs Remo2–1W
7 Aprvs Galvez3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tocantinópolis – last 6

DDLDLW
29 Apr@ Porto Vitória1–1D
25 Apr@ Imperatriz1–1D
23 Apr@ Oratório0–3L
16 Aprvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
8 Aprvs Gama1–2L
5 Aprvs União Carmolandense2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Águia de Marabá and Tocantinópolis.

Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Água Santa4 Madureira1 153%1.62X27%3.10220%5.50 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✓
FT Aparecidense1 Primavera MG1 151%1.85X27%3.00222%3.80 1.6–1.0xG 1XAparecidense or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Parnahyba2 156%1.67X24%3.10220%4.80 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Joinville2 Guarany de Bagé0 163%1.44X24%3.25213%8.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Joinville to win 63%@1.44 ✓
FT ABECAT Ouvidorense2 Ipatinga1 143%2.90X27%2.60230%2.45 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.10 ✓
FT Porto BA1 Tombense3 126%3.70X25%3.10248%1.91 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Pouso Alegre1 Portuguesa2 114%4.60X25%2.90261%1.75 0.5–1.5xG 2Portuguesa to win 61%@1.75 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Real Noroeste1 163%1.50X25%3.50213%6.00 1.5–0.5xG 1Vitória ES to win 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

On our numbers Águia de Marabá have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tocantinópolis 20%.

How many goals will there be in Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

Our predicted score is Águia de Marabá 1–1 Tocantinópolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis?

Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.